Post by Shovkovskyi/Peter on Apr 14, 2014 14:27:29 GMT 1
Before you start commenting this prediction, please, read this first!
As I don't have much time to make video I'll post my GRAND FINAL PREDICTION here. This isn't made from tops or other predictions - this is just my intuition!!!. Last 3 years I guessed the winner correct, but this year is different, because almost everyone can win - there aren't only 2 or 3 songs to select from - there may be many surprises this year. But anyways I wanted to try my luck this time too. I have a feeling that this will be wrong prediction, because in average I mostly guess 3 out of 4, which means this year will be wrong as the last 3 were correct. And also - I didn't put 1 country in better and other in worse place because I liked or disliked them - NO! This is just what my intuition says about the possible winner and this is what it says now. And as I've focused on guessing the right winner, the other places may be totally wrong, because the main thing is to guess the correct winner!
So here's what my intuition this time says:
UK
Armenia
Romania
4.
Sweden
5.
Azerbaijan
6.
Ukraine
7.
Russia
8.
Denmark
9.
Germany
10.
Norway
11.
Austria
12.
Greece
13.
Belgium
14.
Belarus
15.
Spain
16.
Ireland
17.
Moldova
18.
Poland
19.
Hungary
20.
Switzerland
21.
Estonia
22.
Netherlands
23.
Italy
24.
Malta
25.
Lithuania
26.
France
You can like it or dislike - whatever. This isn't my top - it's just a guess. If this wasn't a simple guess I would put many countries much higher and many lower.
As I don't have much time to make video I'll post my GRAND FINAL PREDICTION here. This isn't made from tops or other predictions - this is just my intuition!!!. Last 3 years I guessed the winner correct, but this year is different, because almost everyone can win - there aren't only 2 or 3 songs to select from - there may be many surprises this year. But anyways I wanted to try my luck this time too. I have a feeling that this will be wrong prediction, because in average I mostly guess 3 out of 4, which means this year will be wrong as the last 3 were correct. And also - I didn't put 1 country in better and other in worse place because I liked or disliked them - NO! This is just what my intuition says about the possible winner and this is what it says now. And as I've focused on guessing the right winner, the other places may be totally wrong, because the main thing is to guess the correct winner!
So here's what my intuition this time says:
UK Armenia Romania4.
Sweden5.
Azerbaijan6.
Ukraine7.
Russia8.
Denmark9.
Germany10.
Norway11.
Austria12.
Greece13.
Belgium14.
Belarus15.
Spain16.
Ireland17.
Moldova18.
Poland19.
Hungary20.
Switzerland21.
Estonia22.
Netherlands23.
Italy24.
Malta25.
Lithuania26.
FranceYou can like it or dislike - whatever. This isn't my top - it's just a guess. If this wasn't a simple guess I would put many countries much higher and many lower.
Finland
Montenegro
Israel
Macedonia
United Kingdom (a big fight between Armenia, probably the margin will be like 10 points or smth, either one of them surely will win)
Armenia
Denmark (pulls 2001 Euroivison style with a catchy cheesy pop song, but this time it will get 3rd place, not 2nd 
Sweden (this year's 
Margaret Berger(2013, 4th place))
Ukraine (support because of that conflict going on, though the song itself is average)
Austria (will do shockingly well, a huge support from LGBT community and the juries will love him)
Azerbaijan (will be a little lower because of that voting scandal in 2013, but still finish in top10)
Belgium (this year's 
Gianluca(2013, 8th place), high points from juries)
Russia (less support because of the conflict, though still not out of top10, but it could be)
Romania (catchy dance pop song, everyone will remember them, good in televoting, don't know about the juries, but top10 for sure)
Spain (Spain is kinda unlucky, if they weren't in top 5 with Pastora then I don't think they will be with Ruth, though it will be near the top10)
Italy (They are doing quite well, though after the return this will be their ""worst" result)
Greece (will do well, but will miss the top10)
Montenegro (support from the Balkans, I think it will get only this high, maybe 12th the highest)
Hungary (this fan bubble will pop, a place in the middle)
Moldova (somewhere in the middle also, but no higher than 11th place for sure 
Israel (all the other countries, which are left just fits in those places very well)
Estonia
Poland
Belarus
Germany
Ireland
Lithuania
Finland
France
Albania: I think Hersi won't be able to qualify, with very little regional support.
Georgia: It would be tragic if this song qualifies, which it is very likely not to, thankfully.
Iceland: Will probably fail to qualify, but people do enjoy a gimmick.
Latvia: With some regional support, Latvia might just be able to scrape through to the final, but it's unlikely.
Portugal: The kind of song being sent this year by Portugal has failed to qualify on the past.
San Marino: Will fail, I'm 99% sure of that.
Slovenia: Will qualify and finish in a similar position to Maja Keuc.
Iceland 8. 
Albania 11. 
FYR Macedonia 
The Netherlands 13. 
Switzerland 
Portugal 14. 
Georgia
Latvia 15. 
Slovenia 
San Marino
