Update of the trend by countries (colors: red=situation got worse since my last post; green=getting better; blue=new country on the list).
- Exponential growth (the number of new cases grows everyday by a roughly constant rate): none.
- Accelerating (the number of new cases grows everyday but the growth rate is decreasing) with negative perspective (might become exponential growth): none.
- Accelerating: USA, UK, Spain, Colombia, Argentina, South Africa, Indonesia, Canada, Chile, Sweden, Israel, Portugal, Japan, Panama, UAE, Lebanon, Bolivia, Ireland, Malaysia, Nigeria, Estonia, Zambia, Zimbabwe, Malawi, Lesotho.
- Accelerating with positive perspective (the growth of the number of new cases seems to have stopped but it's still a bit early for a conclusion): Czech Republic, Egypt, Latvia, Uruguay.
- Linear (the number of new cases is roughly constant) with negative perspective (more new cases have been seen recently but it's still a bit early for a conclusion): Brazil, France, Mexico, Costa Rica, Tunisia, Kuwait, Slovenia, Bosnia, Bahrain, Albania, Norway, Cote d'Ivoire, Senegal, Mozambique, Botswana, Maldives, Malta, Guinea, Cuba, Cabo Verde, Eswatini, Haiti, Thailand, Rwanda, Surinam, Eritrea, Mongolia, Comoros, Monaco, Burundi,
- Linear: Italy, Germany, Poland, Iran, Peru, Romania, Belgium, Switzerland, Austria, Hungary, Ecuador, Kazakhstan, Slovakia, Dominican Republic, Qatar, Guatemala, Honduras, Paraguay, Ghana, Afghanistan, El Salvador, Cameroon, Jamaica, Andorra, Congo, Togo, San Marino, Liechtenstein.
- Linear with positive perspective (the number of new cases is roughly constant or slowly decreasing for a quite long period or has decreased recently): Russia, Turkey, Ukraine, Netherlands, Bangladesh, Pakistan, Philippines, Morocco, Serbia, Jordan, Georgia, Croatia, Belarus, Bulgaria, Denmark, Armenia, Lithuania, Moldova, Palestine, Greece, Myanmar, Ethiopia, Venezuela, Libya, Algeria, North Macedonia, Kyrgyzstan, South Korea, Kosovo, Montenegro, Luxembourg. Sri Lanka, Finland, Uganda, Namibia, Cyprus, DRC, Angola, Mauritania, Syria, Burkina Faso, Mali.
- Decelarating with negative perspective (The amount of daily cases is still low but some recent indicators show that the epidemic could be stable at current level or rise again or the country has recently started its deconfinement while the epidemic was not under control): Nicaragua.
- Decelerating: India, Iraq, Nepal, Azerbaijan, Oman, Kenya, Uzbekistan, Belize.
- Decelerating with positive perspective (the number of daily cases is continuously decreasing and is already at a quite low level): Saudi Arabia,
- Extinction with negative perspective (the epidemic is under control on most part of the country but new cases have been discovered recently and might lead to a new wave): China, Gabon, Guyana, Niger, Sierra Leone, Chad, Barbados, Bhutan.
- Extinction (the number of daily cases is very low and stable or decreasing): Singapore, Australia, Madagascar, Tajikistan, Bahamas, Trinidad and Tobago, Iceland, Somalia, South Sudan, Benin, Yemen, Vietnam, Taiwan.
- Extinction with positive perspective (no or almost no new daily cases and a small number of still active cases in the country): Djibouti (32 remaining cases), Equatorial Guinea (49 cases), CAR (21 cases), Gambia (36 cases), Guinea-Bissau (12 cases), New Zealand (62 cases), Sao Tome and Principe (49 cases), Papua New Guinea (50 cases).
- Extinct: none (from the countries above 712 cases - number of cases of Diamond Princess).
I also decided to add some informations about countries below the number of cases of Diamond Princess and that have a few or not remaining cases. I'll distinguish three categories:
- Countries with high GDP that have higher chances to detect new clusters: Taiwan (joined the main list), Brunei (21 cases), Vatican City (12 cases).
- Countries with lower GDP that are more likely to have missed new clusters: Papua New Guinea (joined the main list), Comoros (joined the main list), Mauritius (15 cases), Bhutan (joined the main list), Cambodia (22 cases), Barbados (joined the main list), Seychelles 99 cases), Antigua and Barbuda (12 cases), Saint Vincent and the Grenadines (49 cases), Grenada (20 cases), Dominica (8 cases), Fiji (7 cases), Timor Leste (9 cases), Laos (1 case), Saint Kitts and Navis (3 cases), Solomon Islands (7 cases), Western Sahara (disappeared from the site), Marshall Islands (0 cases), Samoa (0 cases), Vanuatu (0 cases).
- Countries that claim to be coronavirus-free but never announced any cases or stopped revealing their statistics: Tanzania, Turkmenistan, North Korea, Sudan, Liberia.