|
|
Post by Þórir on Mar 13, 2020 23:18:33 GMT 1
No one can be sure what will happen next. Perhaps this will peak quickly. Perhaps the death rates are lower than we thought due to serious underreporting of mild cases. Perhaps its here for a while yet. We don't know. A website has been set up now to track the Icelandic cases, covid.isWhen H1N1 hit Iceland the expectation was that over half of the country would catch it and of those, 3% would die. As it turned out, this was drastically overexaggerated. Lets hope this is the case here. This next month may be the very worst in some countries. Keep safe everyone. |
|
4,139
5,083
Latvia HoD in WWWSC& Retro WWWSC.
|
Post by Shovkovskyi/Peter on Mar 14, 2020 0:37:16 GMT 1
I'm jealous of all you introverts right now I stg Just because introverts are less outgoing than extroverts, doesn't mean we're more immune to this virus. You can be very outgoing or stay-at-home person, but remember - it only takes 1 time to go somewhere or meet someone... that's how easy it is! I could talk a lot about this, but as we're talking about COVID-19, let's make it short - in this case it's not about being introvert or extrovert, but about being responsible and taking the right actions, when necessary. Going to public gym or beauty salon just after returning from Italy (before making sure that you aren't positive for the virus) has nothing to do with being introvert or extrovert - it's irresponsibility. |
|
5,383
7,811
bored and tired....
|
Post by ✨ Forrest ✨ on Mar 14, 2020 0:44:31 GMT 1
Welp, never thought I would have to post in this thread again, but here we go.... Not long after  President Trump declared a national emergency for the US, all my groups at the mental health outpatient center have been cancelled until further notice. As for me, I have to control my emotions from the chaos where I live and take precautions to not go back into the hospital again, I almost wouldn't be able to see my boyfriend but the virus is more serious in the US than people think...... Rip |
|
|
|
Post by SBINNALA on Mar 14, 2020 1:22:04 GMT 1
 Spain is now 5000+ Confirmed cases of COVID-19 |
|
|
|
Post by Ｂ３ＳＴＢＥＡＴＳ on Mar 14, 2020 2:16:46 GMT 1
 Spain is now 5000+ Confirmed cases of COVID-19 COVID-19 left to Madrid empty |
|
Fifi
5 points
YSC
2,988
1,331
#MusicConnects
|
Post by Fifi on Mar 14, 2020 5:20:19 GMT 1
I'm jealous of all you introverts right now I stg You mean that as Joke? For me as Introvert stress it when in my Shop comes 100 Customers in 10 Minutes! That was not funny!  |
|
5,621
10,695
💜 Your friendly Finn, rock/metal music, Alexa Bliss, Isla Dawn, Zelena & sports fan 💜
|
Post by тнєяσиттi95 on Mar 14, 2020 5:34:24 GMT 1
 Up to 155 confirmed cases here  Looks like the number has been fast rising these last few days now and a lot of shops have been very empty with people buying stuff for reserves and all. Especially lot of toilet paper  Like we went shopping a couple days ago and it was just hilarious in a way seeing all the stuff that was sold out so far. It literally felt like the end of the world or zombie apocalypse preparations or something kind of sad as well since this is the first time i actually see and experience this kind of a situation in my life. Hopefully will also be the last time  But yeah i do understand all those people and that is necessary to take action all around to contain this, even if i am not panicking myself about the whole thing. Still i am ofc taking it a bit more cautiously while still living as normally as possible  living as stress-free as possible I just wish media would give more advice to people on how to actually act with all this and talk about the positive stuff more, such as how many people have already actually recovered from the virus and are healthy overall, instead of just spreading the negative stuff which just leads to more hysteria over all this that is what i am just fed up with. Like building the mass hysteria is not helping anyone, but eh what can you do about it really... fear sells I expect this number will just keep rising even faster, but luckily so far we have not had any deaths because of it which is the main thing and so far 2 have been confirmed as recovered even  Luckily i have not heard of any cases yet where i live either, but i expect it will happen sooner or later As a sports fan it also sucks that a lot of seasons and events have now been cancelled completely and stopped because of all this, but at the same time even if it hurts and feels bad, i do understand why it has to be done as said. Atleast Eurovision SO FAR is expected to proceed as planned. Like i would be fine with the acts performing to empty audiences or something like that, just please don't cancel the thing we all look forward to the most in a year  But yeah what can you do if that is the decision they will end up taking in the end  it would just suck a lot with this ESC field being so freaking strong and i would hate to lose it I just wish this whole mess of a situation would just end as soon as possible and we could all get back to normal with our lives Oh and my best wishes go to our beloved southern neighbor  Eke Hopefully if it is this freaking virus as you suspect, you will recover from it as soon as possible. Ofc les hope for the best that it is not and it is just a standard flu or something  keeping my fingers crossed for you that it passes asap whatever it is  I can also imagine the mess of a feeling you must have right now with all this going on Also ofc the same goes for everyone and every country that is dealing with this |
|
|
|
Post by italix on Mar 14, 2020 10:43:37 GMT 1
I noticed several encouraging things in the Italian figures from yesterday. Of course, we still need to be quite careful and wait a few days before concluding.
First of all, it seems that the number of new daily cases doesn't rise anymore.
Secondly, we can see that in some provinces that were early concerned by the epidemic, the number of new cases represents a small part of the total: 10 new cases in the province of Lodi (total of 1133 so less than 1% of new cases), 42 in the province of Cremona (total: 1344), and 31 in the province of Piacenza (total: 710). So apparently the early measures taken in these provinces have a real effect today.
Thirdly, there was no new case in Sicilia (for a total of 115 cases) and only 4 new cases in Sardinia, which means that the evolution of the virus should be more or less under control in the regions that don't have too many cases with the restrictions of travels inside Italy.
|
|
|
|
Post by italix on Mar 14, 2020 11:14:58 GMT 1
No one can be sure what will happen next. Perhaps this will peak quickly. Perhaps the death rates are lower than we thought due to serious underreporting of mild cases. Perhaps its here for a while yet. We don't know. A website has been set up now to track the Icelandic cases, covid.isWhen H1N1 hit Iceland the expectation was that over half of the country would catch it and of those, 3% would die. As it turned out, this was drastically overexaggerated. Lets hope this is the case here. This next month may be the very worst in some countries. Keep safe everyone. We probably won't know the real lethality rate before a long time. Firstly, because we can't precisely estimate the number of cases. The issue is that many people got the disease but weren't tested because their symptoms were non existent or too weak and/or because they weren't in contact with a confirmed case. The only way to have a clear answer to that question would be to test a large part of the population after the epidemic and to count how many people have antibody in their blood.
The second reason is that it is quite difficult to tell if the virus killed someone, if it just accelerated the death of the person or if the patient died from a completely different reason (for example, the French teacher who was one of the first victims in the country died from a pulmonary embolism that would have killed him anyway). In Italy the lethality rate is overestimated because they decided to count each person who died with the virus. They might studying each case after the epidemic in order to determine the cause of the death.
About the contamination rate, 60-70% of the entire population is an estimation of the number of people that could be infected on a long term perspective (not necessarly in one wave) and if a large scale epidemic can't be avoided (by quarantine, treatments or vaccines). You can easily understand how this rate is obtained. If we consider that someone who is infected is able to contaminate 2.5 persons on average, then the number of cases will increase exponentially until the moment where a large part of the population will be immune. If for example 60% of people have already been infected, then a person with the virus would be able to contaminate only 40% of 2.5 equals 1 person on average, and if 70% of the population is immune, then this number will be 30% of 2.5 = 0.75 so each "generation" of infected people is less numerous so the epidemic slows down until complete extinction. The goal of the measures actually taken is to obtain the same result with a different method: each infected person is still able to contaminate 2.5 persons on average but if we manage to avoid the contact with 1.5 or more of these persons, then the number of new cases will continuously decrease.
|
|
5,621
10,695
💜 Your friendly Finn, rock/metal music, Alexa Bliss, Isla Dawn, Zelena & sports fan 💜
|
Post by тнєяσиттi95 on Mar 14, 2020 12:57:06 GMT 1
And just like that i just read there is now the first case in the province that i live in literally this next day now, but i have no idea whether it was in my city or somewhere else yet since it was not told should just stop jinxing this |
|
// WWWSC 
// RSF 
// FoIM 
// FoM 
// OSC 
Rock fan from FL best known for winning FC #6 and spamming Lacuna Coil in NNMC 
But yeah what can you do if that is the decision they will end up taking in the end 
